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Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?

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Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?

abr 17

abr 18

abr 19

abr 17

abr 18

abr 19

34°C 36%

35°C 31%

36°C 13%

33°C 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

34°C 36%

35°C 31%

36°C 13%

33°C 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

28°C or below

$1,332 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$921 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$1,877 Vol.

1%

31°C

$801 Vol.

1%

32°C

$1,145 Vol.

1%

33°C

$123 Vol.

12%

34°C

$146 Vol.

36%

35°C

$156 Vol.

31%

36°C

$507 Vol.

19%

37°C

$706 Vol.

7%

38°C or higher

$417 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast issued April 17 pegs Metro Manila's high temperature at 34°C on April 18 under partly cloudy skies from easterlies, driving the tight trader consensus between 34°C (31%) and 35°C (34.5%) outcomes amid peak dry-season heat. Recent observations show 34.8°C at Quezon City Science Garden on April 16, with heat indices nearing danger levels, fueling bets on a slight exceedance due to urban heat island amplification in Manila and low soil moisture boosting daytime solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker clouds cap peaks at 34°C, while thinning allows 35°C—and model ensembles like ECMWF hinting marginally higher. Hourly PAGASA updates from dawn April 18 will sharpen resolution based on official station maxima.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,131
Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest forecast issued April 17 pegs Metro Manila's high temperature at 34°C on April 18 under partly cloudy skies from easterlies, driving the tight trader consensus between 34°C (31%) and 35°C (34.5%) outcomes amid peak dry-season heat. Recent observations show 34.8°C at Quezon City Science Garden on April 16, with heat indices nearing danger levels, fueling bets on a slight exceedance due to urban heat island amplification in Manila and low soil moisture boosting daytime solar heating. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker clouds cap peaks at 34°C, while thinning allows 35°C—and model ensembles like ECMWF hinting marginally higher. Hourly PAGASA updates from dawn April 18 will sharpen resolution based on official station maxima.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,131
Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:44 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "34°C" con 36%, seguido de "35°C" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 16, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?" es "34°C" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "35°C" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Manila on April 18?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.