Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 1?
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,014 Vol.
$11,014 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
Yes
28°C or higher 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$11,014 Vol.
$11,014 Vol.
1 may 2026
18°C or below
$119 Vol.
No
19°C
$235 Vol.
No
20°C
$115 Vol.
No
21°C
$120 Vol.
No
22°C
$353 Vol.
No
23°C
$353 Vol.
No
24°C
$405 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,772 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,148 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,634 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,759 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$11,014Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,014Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) under Conagua project a high of 30-33°C in Mexico City today, amid an ongoing onda de calor— a heat wave driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and intense solar heating during the dry season. This consensus across models like those from SMN and international sources has locked trader sentiment at 100% implied probability for 28°C or higher, well above the May climatological average of 25-26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Realistic challenges include unforecast afternoon convective showers or early arrival of Frente Frío No. 48 suppressing peak heating, though low-probability per current guidance; real-time data from stations like Observatorio Central Tacubaya will confirm by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes