Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show a wide spread in projected maximum temperatures for Milan on April 17, with means around 20-23°C but outliers from 16°C under increased cloudiness to 25°C+ with stronger southerly flow, driving the closely matched trader probabilities. Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping warming potential after a brief warm spell earlier in April, while historical April averages hover near 18°C amid Po Valley's variable spring patterns influenced by Alpine blocking. Inherent short-range uncertainty from boundary layer dynamics and frontal timing keeps outcomes like 18°C or below (27.5% implied odds) slightly ahead, with fresh 12Z model runs expected to refine consensus before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 24%
23°C 15%
25°C 12%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
10%
23°C
15%
24°C
24%
25°C
12%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 24%
23°C 15%
25°C 12%
22°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
18°C or below
$1,329 Vol.
1%
19°C
$533 Vol.
1%
20°C
$82 Vol.
4%
21°C
$136 Vol.
6%
22°C
$68 Vol.
10%
23°C
$51 Vol.
15%
24°C
$38 Vol.
24%
25°C
$42 Vol.
12%
26°C
$60 Vol.
5%
27°C
$74 Vol.
6%
28°C or higher
$139 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show a wide spread in projected maximum temperatures for Milan on April 17, with means around 20-23°C but outliers from 16°C under increased cloudiness to 25°C+ with stronger southerly flow, driving the closely matched trader probabilities. Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping warming potential after a brief warm spell earlier in April, while historical April averages hover near 18°C amid Po Valley's variable spring patterns influenced by Alpine blocking. Inherent short-range uncertainty from boundary layer dynamics and frontal timing keeps outcomes like 18°C or below (27.5% implied odds) slightly ahead, with fresh 12Z model runs expected to refine consensus before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$2,376Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show a wide spread in projected maximum temperatures for Milan on April 17, with means around 20-23°C but outliers from 16°C under increased cloudiness to 25°C+ with stronger southerly flow, driving the closely matched trader probabilities. Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping warming potential after a brief warm spell earlier in April, while historical April averages hover near 18°C amid Po Valley's variable spring patterns influenced by Alpine blocking. Inherent short-range uncertainty from boundary layer dynamics and frontal timing keeps outcomes like 18°C or below (27.5% implied odds) slightly ahead, with fresh 12Z model runs expected to refine consensus before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,376Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show a wide spread in projected maximum temperatures for Milan on April 17, with means around 20-23°C but outliers from 16°C under increased cloudiness to 25°C+ with stronger southerly flow, driving the closely matched trader probabilities. Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds capping warming potential after a brief warm spell earlier in April, while historical April averages hover near 18°C amid Po Valley's variable spring patterns influenced by Alpine blocking. Inherent short-range uncertainty from boundary layer dynamics and frontal timing keeps outcomes like 18°C or below (27.5% implied odds) slightly ahead, with fresh 12Z model runs expected to refine consensus before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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