Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38%) and 24°C (37%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering on a 24°C peak at Milan Malpensa Airport—per Italy's Aeronautica Militare—amid high pressure and clear skies fostering solar insolation up to 800 W/m² in early afternoon. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads showing 20-30% of members reaching 25°C under prolonged full sunshine before potential thin high clouds, versus boundary layer mixing capping at 24°C with light southerly winds; urban heat island effects in central Milan could add 0.5-1°C over airport readings. Final 12Z model runs today and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before evening peak around 15:00 UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 18?
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
$18,299 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,299 Vol.
18 abr 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
25°C 38%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
$18,299 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,299 Vol.
18 abr 2026
18°C or below
$2,015 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,501 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,311 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,096 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,415 Vol.
3%
23°C
$1,432 Vol.
16%
24°C
$909 Vol.
38%
25°C
$883 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,054 Vol.
9%
27°C
$690 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$994 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38%) and 24°C (37%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering on a 24°C peak at Milan Malpensa Airport—per Italy's Aeronautica Militare—amid high pressure and clear skies fostering solar insolation up to 800 W/m² in early afternoon. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads showing 20-30% of members reaching 25°C under prolonged full sunshine before potential thin high clouds, versus boundary layer mixing capping at 24°C with light southerly winds; urban heat island effects in central Milan could add 0.5-1°C over airport readings. Final 12Z model runs today and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before evening peak around 15:00 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Volumen
$18,299Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38%) and 24°C (37%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering on a 24°C peak at Milan Malpensa Airport—per Italy's Aeronautica Militare—amid high pressure and clear skies fostering solar insolation up to 800 W/m² in early afternoon. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads showing 20-30% of members reaching 25°C under prolonged full sunshine before potential thin high clouds, versus boundary layer mixing capping at 24°C with light southerly winds; urban heat island effects in central Milan could add 0.5-1°C over airport readings. Final 12Z model runs today and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before evening peak around 15:00 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,299Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 25°C (38%) and 24°C (37%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts centering on a 24°C peak at Milan Malpensa Airport—per Italy's Aeronautica Militare—amid high pressure and clear skies fostering solar insolation up to 800 W/m² in early afternoon. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads showing 20-30% of members reaching 25°C under prolonged full sunshine before potential thin high clouds, versus boundary layer mixing capping at 24°C with light southerly winds; urban heat island effects in central Milan could add 0.5-1°C over airport readings. Final 12Z model runs today and real-time observations will sharpen resolution before evening peak around 15:00 UTC.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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