Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Moscow's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 8–10°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 10°C (26.5% implied probability), 9°C (21%), and 8°C (18.5%) amid close competition due to model spread in precipitation timing and cloud cover persistence. Recent Roshydromet observations noted April 15–17 highs of 12–13°C under showers and thunderstorms—above mid-April climatological norms of 11–12°C—but an advancing low-pressure system now drives cooler northerly flow, capping daytime peaks despite potential afternoon clearing. Ensemble means hover near 9°C, with uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and frontal passage; updated 12Z model runs expected early April 18 will refine guidance before resolution based on official VDNKh station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 18?
10°C 27%
9°C 21%
8°C 19%
11°C 12%
NUEVO
$10,569 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,569 Vol.
18 abr 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
8%
8°C
19%
9°C
21%
10°C
27%
11°C
12%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 27%
9°C 21%
8°C 19%
11°C 12%
NUEVO
$10,569 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,569 Vol.
18 abr 2026
6°C or below
$914 Vol.
2%
7°C
$622 Vol.
8%
8°C
$179 Vol.
19%
9°C
$344 Vol.
21%
10°C
$400 Vol.
27%
11°C
$871 Vol.
12%
12°C
$2,226 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,452 Vol.
3%
14°C
$1,482 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,111 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$969 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Moscow's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 8–10°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 10°C (26.5% implied probability), 9°C (21%), and 8°C (18.5%) amid close competition due to model spread in precipitation timing and cloud cover persistence. Recent Roshydromet observations noted April 15–17 highs of 12–13°C under showers and thunderstorms—above mid-April climatological norms of 11–12°C—but an advancing low-pressure system now drives cooler northerly flow, capping daytime peaks despite potential afternoon clearing. Ensemble means hover near 9°C, with uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and frontal passage; updated 12Z model runs expected early April 18 will refine guidance before resolution based on official VDNKh station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ET
Volumen
$10,569Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Moscow's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 8–10°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 10°C (26.5% implied probability), 9°C (21%), and 8°C (18.5%) amid close competition due to model spread in precipitation timing and cloud cover persistence. Recent Roshydromet observations noted April 15–17 highs of 12–13°C under showers and thunderstorms—above mid-April climatological norms of 11–12°C—but an advancing low-pressure system now drives cooler northerly flow, capping daytime peaks despite potential afternoon clearing. Ensemble means hover near 9°C, with uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and frontal passage; updated 12Z model runs expected early April 18 will refine guidance before resolution based on official VDNKh station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,569Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts show Moscow's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 8–10°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 10°C (26.5% implied probability), 9°C (21%), and 8°C (18.5%) amid close competition due to model spread in precipitation timing and cloud cover persistence. Recent Roshydromet observations noted April 15–17 highs of 12–13°C under showers and thunderstorms—above mid-April climatological norms of 11–12°C—but an advancing low-pressure system now drives cooler northerly flow, capping daytime peaks despite potential afternoon clearing. Ensemble means hover near 9°C, with uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and frontal passage; updated 12Z model runs expected early April 18 will refine guidance before resolution based on official VDNKh station measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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