Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF high-resolution model runs forecast Munich's highest temperature on April 16 at 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 17°C at 34.5% implied probability amid a tight distribution reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty. Current observations from Munich Airport show mild overnight lows around 8–10°C today, supporting mild advection from the southwest, though persistent cloud cover or northerly shear could cap peaks at 16°C, while brief sun breaks might push to 18–19°C. Ensemble spreads highlight 2–3°C variability typical for spring transitions, with April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs; watch DWD hourly updates and afternoon soundings for final positioning before resolution based on airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 16?
17°C 34%
18°C 31%
16°C 22%
19°C 9%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
22%
17°C
34%
18°C
31%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 34%
18°C 31%
16°C 22%
19°C 9%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
22%
17°C
34%
18°C
31%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF high-resolution model runs forecast Munich's highest temperature on April 16 at 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 17°C at 34.5% implied probability amid a tight distribution reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty. Current observations from Munich Airport show mild overnight lows around 8–10°C today, supporting mild advection from the southwest, though persistent cloud cover or northerly shear could cap peaks at 16°C, while brief sun breaks might push to 18–19°C. Ensemble spreads highlight 2–3°C variability typical for spring transitions, with April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs; watch DWD hourly updates and afternoon soundings for final positioning before resolution based on airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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