Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 25?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 Vol.
$96,170 Vol.
25 jun 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 Vol.
$96,170 Vol.
25 jun 2026
29°C or below
$1,710 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,016 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,601 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,258 Vol.
No
33°C
$20,274 Vol.
No
34°C
$17,605 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$14,192 Vol.
No
36°C
$15,210 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,240 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,753 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$3,310 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volumen
$96,170Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$96,170Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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