Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture patterns that limit extreme heating while sustaining high humidity. Urban heat island effects in the city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Key variables include variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers, which could cap the high at 34°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35–36°C. Historical August data show similar conditions yield highs in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid low typhoon activity this week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 3 de agosto?
35°C 39%
34°C 32%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
32%
35°C
39%
36°C
10%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
34°C 32%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
32%
35°C
39%
36°C
10%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicates Shanghai will likely see a peak temperature near 34–35°C on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical early-August monsoon moisture patterns that limit extreme heating while sustaining high humidity. Urban heat island effects in the city amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines, supporting the market's tight clustering around these values. Key variables include variable cloud cover and possible scattered showers, which could cap the high at 34°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 35–36°C. Historical August data show similar conditions yield highs in this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official station readings amid low typhoon activity this week.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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