Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 12 de julio?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$179,821 Vol.
$179,821 Vol.
12 jul 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$179,821 Vol.
$179,821 Vol.
12 jul 2026
25°C or below
$8,682 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,580 Vol.
No
27°C
$20,717 Vol.
No
28°C
$24,165 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,100 Vol.
No
30°C
$34,855 Vol.
No
31°C
$19,598 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$25,075 Vol.
No
33°C
$12,420 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,512 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$6,116 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$179,821Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$179,821Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's July 12 high near 31°C (88°F), with a mix of high humidity, subtropical ridging, and possible afternoon thundershowers that could cap daytime maxima or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 32–33°C. This narrow cluster explains why 30°C holds the highest implied probability at 31%, followed closely by 31°C and 29°C, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind, or timing of any rain alter the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages hover around 31°C, but 2026 conditions show typical post-plum-rain transition variability, leaving room for model updates through the next 48 hours to refine trader consensus before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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