Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19 around 29-30°C, fueling the tight race in market-implied probabilities with 29°C and 30°C each at 24.5% and 31°C at 22.5%. This clustering stems from inherent short-term uncertainty in subtropical spring conditions, where sea breezes, patchy clouds, and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks by 1-2°C, while urban heat island effects and rising solar insolation favor warmer outcomes. Recent days have seen highs near 29°C amid typical late-April warming—averaging 26-27°C historically but trending higher—highlighting model spread on cloud cover. Traders await tomorrow's updated guidance from official stations, as even minor shifts in humidity or wind could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 19?
30°C 25%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
18%
29°C
25%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
17%
30°C 25%
29°C 25%
31°C 22%
28°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
22°C or below
$605 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,039 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$855 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,383 Vol.
3%
27°C
$615 Vol.
6%
28°C
$515 Vol.
18%
29°C
$125 Vol.
25%
30°C
$143 Vol.
25%
31°C
$172 Vol.
22%
32°C or higher
$744 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19 around 29-30°C, fueling the tight race in market-implied probabilities with 29°C and 30°C each at 24.5% and 31°C at 22.5%. This clustering stems from inherent short-term uncertainty in subtropical spring conditions, where sea breezes, patchy clouds, and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks by 1-2°C, while urban heat island effects and rising solar insolation favor warmer outcomes. Recent days have seen highs near 29°C amid typical late-April warming—averaging 26-27°C historically but trending higher—highlighting model spread on cloud cover. Traders await tomorrow's updated guidance from official stations, as even minor shifts in humidity or wind could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volumen
$7,371Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19 around 29-30°C, fueling the tight race in market-implied probabilities with 29°C and 30°C each at 24.5% and 31°C at 22.5%. This clustering stems from inherent short-term uncertainty in subtropical spring conditions, where sea breezes, patchy clouds, and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks by 1-2°C, while urban heat island effects and rising solar insolation favor warmer outcomes. Recent days have seen highs near 29°C amid typical late-April warming—averaging 26-27°C historically but trending higher—highlighting model spread on cloud cover. Traders await tomorrow's updated guidance from official stations, as even minor shifts in humidity or wind could tip the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,371Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like AccuWeather project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 19 around 29-30°C, fueling the tight race in market-implied probabilities with 29°C and 30°C each at 24.5% and 31°C at 22.5%. This clustering stems from inherent short-term uncertainty in subtropical spring conditions, where sea breezes, patchy clouds, and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks by 1-2°C, while urban heat island effects and rising solar insolation favor warmer outcomes. Recent days have seen highs near 29°C amid typical late-April warming—averaging 26-27°C historically but trending higher—highlighting model spread on cloud cover. Traders await tomorrow's updated guidance from official stations, as even minor shifts in humidity or wind could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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