Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 25?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$100,452 Vol.
$100,452 Vol.
25 abr 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$100,452 Vol.
$100,452 Vol.
25 abr 2026
21°C or below
$3,193 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,118 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,152 Vol.
No
24°C
$8,463 Vol.
No
25°C
$11,379 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,972 Vol.
No
27°C
$23,870 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$9,588 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,788 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,369 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$4,560 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$100,452Fecha de finalización
25 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$100,452Fecha de finalización
25 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration's short-range forecasts projecting this exact peak at Bao'an International Airport amid mostly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and lingering thundershower risks from yesterday's storms that capped April 24's high at 21°C. Current observations, including afternoon readings around 25°C under high humidity and limited solar insolation, align with late-April subtropical climatology averaging 26-28°C highs influenced by warming southerly flows. Resolution awaits final Wunderground data from the airport station; unexpected clearing could elevate to 28°C via enhanced heating, while intensified showers might suppress below 27°C, though model ensembles show robust agreement on the current positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes