Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 6?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 6?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,068 Vol.
$82,068 Vol.
6 may 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$82,068 Vol.
$82,068 Vol.
6 may 2026
21°C or below
$1,674 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,466 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,791 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,749 Vol.
No
25°C
$8,969 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,817 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,001 Vol.
No
28°C
$13,911 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$8,165 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,640 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$14,884 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volumen
$82,068Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$82,068Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C (100% implied probability) for Taipei's highest temperature on May 6 at Songshan Airport station, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) forecasts projecting daytime highs of 24–27°C amid partly cloudy skies with occasional showers (30% precipitation chance). Yesterday's cool 21°C peak reflected lingering frontal clouds, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flows enable slight rebound toward seasonal May norms (average highs near 28°C), with early observations confirming temperatures climbing into the upper 20s. Realistic challenges include persistent overcast suppressing peaks to 27°C or brief clearing allowing solar heating to push 29°C; final CWA hourly data will resolve this as the day ends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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