Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 26-27°C, reflecting trader consensus amid post-heatwave moderation after April 15's extreme 35°C-plus peak under a persistent upper-level ridge. Close odds between 27°C (33.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25.5%) stem from uncertainty in sea breeze strength versus dry easterly advection and subsidence warming, with hazy skies potentially boosting insolation for late-afternoon peaks. Historical April averages hover near 24°C, but current dry conditions favor above-normal heat; new model runs on April 17 could refine this, as marine layer development might cap highs at 26°C or allow 28°C+ if onshore flow weakens.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
27°C 33%
26°C 28%
28°C or higher 16%
25°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
14%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C or higher
16%
27°C 33%
26°C 28%
28°C or higher 16%
25°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
18°C or below
$225 Vol.
1%
19°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$445 Vol.
1%
21°C
$368 Vol.
1%
22°C
$156 Vol.
1%
23°C
$112 Vol.
1%
24°C
$51 Vol.
10%
25°C
$105 Vol.
14%
26°C
$28 Vol.
28%
27°C
$31 Vol.
33%
28°C or higher
$151 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 26-27°C, reflecting trader consensus amid post-heatwave moderation after April 15's extreme 35°C-plus peak under a persistent upper-level ridge. Close odds between 27°C (33.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25.5%) stem from uncertainty in sea breeze strength versus dry easterly advection and subsidence warming, with hazy skies potentially boosting insolation for late-afternoon peaks. Historical April averages hover near 24°C, but current dry conditions favor above-normal heat; new model runs on April 17 could refine this, as marine layer development might cap highs at 26°C or allow 28°C+ if onshore flow weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volumen
$1,762Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 26-27°C, reflecting trader consensus amid post-heatwave moderation after April 15's extreme 35°C-plus peak under a persistent upper-level ridge. Close odds between 27°C (33.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25.5%) stem from uncertainty in sea breeze strength versus dry easterly advection and subsidence warming, with hazy skies potentially boosting insolation for late-afternoon peaks. Historical April averages hover near 24°C, but current dry conditions favor above-normal heat; new model runs on April 17 could refine this, as marine layer development might cap highs at 26°C or allow 28°C+ if onshore flow weakens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,762Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 18 clustering around 26-27°C, reflecting trader consensus amid post-heatwave moderation after April 15's extreme 35°C-plus peak under a persistent upper-level ridge. Close odds between 27°C (33.5% implied probability) and 26°C (25.5%) stem from uncertainty in sea breeze strength versus dry easterly advection and subsidence warming, with hazy skies potentially boosting insolation for late-afternoon peaks. Historical April averages hover near 24°C, but current dry conditions favor above-normal heat; new model runs on April 17 could refine this, as marine layer development might cap highs at 26°C or allow 28°C+ if onshore flow weakens.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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