**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
22°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,418 Vol.
$124,418 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Sí
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C o más
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C o menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,418 Vol.
$124,418 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$3,194 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,979 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,813 Vol.
No
20°C
$29,308 Vol.
No
21°C
$17,634 Vol.
No
22°C
$15,577 Vol.
Sí
23°C
$17,130 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,730 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,617 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,881 Vol.
No
27°C o más
$6,555 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$124,418Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$124,418Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the near-certain outcome for Tokyo’s highest temperature on June 15, 2026, reflecting the latest Japan Meteorological Agency short-range forecast and ensemble model guidance.** A modest subtropical ridge combined with lingering Baiu-season cloud cover is limiting solar heating, producing daytime maxima consistent with 21–22°C at the Otemachi observation site—the official resolution source. This aligns with early-June climatology when frontal activity often caps temperatures several degrees below the monthly normal of ~26°C. The market-implied probability above 99% for 22°C incorporates real capital at risk and accounts for minor remaining uncertainty in afternoon mixing or localized clearing. An unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharper ridge build could allow readings to reach 23–24°C, though current model consensus and ongoing JMA updates make such shifts unlikely before final observations are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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