Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 16 de agosto?
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
34%
26°C
40%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 34%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
$88 Vol.
1%
23°C
$365 Vol.
4%
24°C
$557 Vol.
11%
25°C
$181 Vol.
34%
26°C
$359 Vol.
40%
27°C
$674 Vol.
13%
28°C
$303 Vol.
2%
29°C
$374 Vol.
2%
30°C
$138 Vol.
1%
31°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$4,401Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,401Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada peg Toronto’s August 16 high at 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of afternoon showers and possible thunderstorms, driving the near-even 36.5% and 33.5% market-implied odds for 26°C versus 25°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating lake-breeze circulation and reduced solar insolation from cloud cover are the key variables that could cap the peak one degree lower, while any break in clouds or delayed precipitation timing might allow brief warming toward 27°C (12.5%). Historical August averages near 25–26°C and model consensus around mid-20s reinforce the tight spread, with traders weighing the latest radar trends and short-term model runs ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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