Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 17°C, aligning with trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability, as mild southerly airflow and persistent high-pressure ridging support above-normal warmth following recent highs of 15°C on April 16 and 14°C on April 13. April 2026 so far shows a +2.1°C monthly anomaly above the 9.2°C norm, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating potential amid low wind shear. However, slight model spread introduces uncertainty between 16-18°C, with 16°C at 12.5% and 18°C at 27.5%; new 12Z runs from the National Hurricane Center equivalents like IMGW expected within hours could shift odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 18?
17°C 48%
18°C 28%
16°C 14%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
$10,912 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,912 Vol.
18 abr 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
14%
17°C
48%
18°C
28%
19°C
7%
20°C or higher
3%
17°C 48%
18°C 28%
16°C 14%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
$10,912 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,912 Vol.
18 abr 2026
10°C or below
$1,983 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,548 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,114 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,050 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,358 Vol.
1%
15°C
$338 Vol.
3%
16°C
$341 Vol.
14%
17°C
$411 Vol.
48%
18°C
$439 Vol.
28%
19°C
$1,173 Vol.
7%
20°C or higher
$1,157 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 17°C, aligning with trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability, as mild southerly airflow and persistent high-pressure ridging support above-normal warmth following recent highs of 15°C on April 16 and 14°C on April 13. April 2026 so far shows a +2.1°C monthly anomaly above the 9.2°C norm, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating potential amid low wind shear. However, slight model spread introduces uncertainty between 16-18°C, with 16°C at 12.5% and 18°C at 27.5%; new 12Z runs from the National Hurricane Center equivalents like IMGW expected within hours could shift odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,912Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 17°C, aligning with trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability, as mild southerly airflow and persistent high-pressure ridging support above-normal warmth following recent highs of 15°C on April 16 and 14°C on April 13. April 2026 so far shows a +2.1°C monthly anomaly above the 9.2°C norm, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating potential amid low wind shear. However, slight model spread introduces uncertainty between 16-18°C, with 16°C at 12.5% and 18°C at 27.5%; new 12Z runs from the National Hurricane Center equivalents like IMGW expected within hours could shift odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,912Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 18 reaching 17°C, aligning with trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability, as mild southerly airflow and persistent high-pressure ridging support above-normal warmth following recent highs of 15°C on April 16 and 14°C on April 13. April 2026 so far shows a +2.1°C monthly anomaly above the 9.2°C norm, with minimal cloud interference boosting daytime heating potential amid low wind shear. However, slight model spread introduces uncertainty between 16-18°C, with 16°C at 12.5% and 18°C at 27.5%; new 12Z runs from the National Hurricane Center equivalents like IMGW expected within hours could shift odds before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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