Recent multi-model forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's August 20 high temperature will likely peak near 23–25°C, producing the tight market clustering around those thresholds. This stems from moderate southwesterly flow under variable high pressure, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak solar heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Subtle differences in timing and extent of afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture separate the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ scenarios; drier, sunnier model solutions favor the upper end. Updated guidance expected overnight and on the 19th from national meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 20 de agosto?
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C or higher 22%
22°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
31%
24°C
33%
25°C or higher
22%
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
25°C or higher 22%
22°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$13 Vol.
1%
21°C
$4 Vol.
4%
22°C
$49 Vol.
9%
23°C
$31 Vol.
31%
24°C
$73 Vol.
33%
25°C or higher
$60 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's August 20 high temperature will likely peak near 23–25°C, producing the tight market clustering around those thresholds. This stems from moderate southwesterly flow under variable high pressure, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak solar heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Subtle differences in timing and extent of afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture separate the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ scenarios; drier, sunnier model solutions favor the upper end. Updated guidance expected overnight and on the 19th from national meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,096Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's August 20 high temperature will likely peak near 23–25°C, producing the tight market clustering around those thresholds. This stems from moderate southwesterly flow under variable high pressure, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak solar heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Subtle differences in timing and extent of afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture separate the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ scenarios; drier, sunnier model solutions favor the upper end. Updated guidance expected overnight and on the 19th from national meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,096Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multi-model forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate Warsaw's August 20 high temperature will likely peak near 23–25°C, producing the tight market clustering around those thresholds. This stems from moderate southwesterly flow under variable high pressure, with partial cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak solar heating while preventing strong radiative cooling. Subtle differences in timing and extent of afternoon convection or boundary-layer moisture separate the 23°C, 24°C, and 25°C+ scenarios; drier, sunnier model solutions favor the upper end. Updated guidance expected overnight and on the 19th from national meteorological services will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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