Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature (76.5% implied probability) at Wellington International Airport on April 18, driven by MetService's latest forecast of a 17–18°C peak under strong northerlies advecting warmer subtropical air before a heavy rain front arrives. Today's April 17 high reached near 18°C with northwesterlies, setting a precedent, while historical April airport averages hover around 16°C but northerly outbreaks often push boundaries higher. A Heavy Rain Watch from 9am April 18 signals periods of heavy rain and squally thunderstorms, potentially capping intensity via cloud cover, though morning clearing could allow a brief 18°C spike. Next MetService update at 10am April 18 may refine model consensus amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de abril?
18°C 74%
19°C 21%
20°C 2.6%
21°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
$85,921 Vol.
NUEVO
$85,921 Vol.
18 abr 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
74%
19°C
21%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 74%
19°C 21%
20°C 2.6%
21°C or higher <1%
NUEVO
$85,921 Vol.
NUEVO
$85,921 Vol.
18 abr 2026
11°C or below
$8,770 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5,930 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$21,899 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,002 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$7,685 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15,540 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$9,115 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,823 Vol.
74%
19°C
$2,859 Vol.
21%
20°C
$3,059 Vol.
3%
21°C or higher
$2,303 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature (76.5% implied probability) at Wellington International Airport on April 18, driven by MetService's latest forecast of a 17–18°C peak under strong northerlies advecting warmer subtropical air before a heavy rain front arrives. Today's April 17 high reached near 18°C with northwesterlies, setting a precedent, while historical April airport averages hover around 16°C but northerly outbreaks often push boundaries higher. A Heavy Rain Watch from 9am April 18 signals periods of heavy rain and squally thunderstorms, potentially capping intensity via cloud cover, though morning clearing could allow a brief 18°C spike. Next MetService update at 10am April 18 may refine model consensus amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Volumen
$85,921Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature (76.5% implied probability) at Wellington International Airport on April 18, driven by MetService's latest forecast of a 17–18°C peak under strong northerlies advecting warmer subtropical air before a heavy rain front arrives. Today's April 17 high reached near 18°C with northwesterlies, setting a precedent, while historical April airport averages hover around 16°C but northerly outbreaks often push boundaries higher. A Heavy Rain Watch from 9am April 18 signals periods of heavy rain and squally thunderstorms, potentially capping intensity via cloud cover, though morning clearing could allow a brief 18°C spike. Next MetService update at 10am April 18 may refine model consensus amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$85,921Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 18°C high temperature (76.5% implied probability) at Wellington International Airport on April 18, driven by MetService's latest forecast of a 17–18°C peak under strong northerlies advecting warmer subtropical air before a heavy rain front arrives. Today's April 17 high reached near 18°C with northwesterlies, setting a precedent, while historical April airport averages hover around 16°C but northerly outbreaks often push boundaries higher. A Heavy Rain Watch from 9am April 18 signals periods of heavy rain and squally thunderstorms, potentially capping intensity via cloud cover, though morning clearing could allow a brief 18°C spike. Next MetService update at 10am April 18 may refine model consensus amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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