Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis triggered by US-Israel-Iran conflict, commercial vessel transits have plummeted to historic lows, with Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps selectively permitting a trickle—five ships on March 23, four each on March 24 and 25, and few more through March 26—mostly Iran-linked tankers or those paying reported multimillion-dollar tolls, while others like Chinese containers were turned back on March 27. This partial-week tally of around 16 keeps trader consensus tightly clustered in the 20-34 range, reflecting uncertainty over dark fleet activity, high insurance premiums, and backlog pressures. Separation could arise from weekend escalations like attacks, US escorts enabling surges, or diplomatic breakthroughs expanding permissions before March 29 resolution.[[1]](https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/crude-oil/032526-four-ships-transit-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-24-with-two-linked-to-iran-cas)[[2]](https://windward.ai/blog/march-25-maritime-intelligence-daily)[[3]](https://news.usni.org/2026/03/27/irgc-opens-tolled-passage-for-merchant-ships-in-strait-of-hormuz-transit-continues-to-trickle-through)[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/anadoluagencyenglish/posts/just-seven-commercial-vessels-transited-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-25-and-26-/1272799995039014)[[5]](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-ships-halt-attempt-exit-hormuz-despite-iran-safe-passage-assurances-2026-03-27)
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
20-24 29%
30-34 25%
25-29 19%
35-39 14%
NEW
$15,381 Vol.
NEW
$15,381 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
<10
2%
10-14
3%
15-19
7%
20-24
34%
25-29
19%
30-34
25%
35-39
14%
40-44
6%
45+
6%
20-24 29%
30-34 25%
25-29 19%
35-39 14%
NEW
$15,381 Vol.
NEW
$15,381 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
<10
$2,528 Vol.
2%
10-14
$1,110 Vol.
3%
15-19
$1,578 Vol.
7%
20-24
$2,788 Vol.
34%
25-29
$1,180 Vol.
19%
30-34
$1,343 Vol.
25%
35-39
$1,274 Vol.
14%
40-44
$1,176 Vol.
6%
45+
$2,413 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis triggered by US-Israel-Iran conflict, commercial vessel transits have plummeted to historic lows, with Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps selectively permitting a trickle—five ships on March 23, four each on March 24 and 25, and few more through March 26—mostly Iran-linked tankers or those paying reported multimillion-dollar tolls, while others like Chinese containers were turned back on March 27. This partial-week tally of around 16 keeps trader consensus tightly clustered in the 20-34 range, reflecting uncertainty over dark fleet activity, high insurance premiums, and backlog pressures. Separation could arise from weekend escalations like attacks, US escorts enabling surges, or diplomatic breakthroughs expanding permissions before March 29 resolution.[[1]](https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/crude-oil/032526-four-ships-transit-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-24-with-two-linked-to-iran-cas)[[2]](https://windward.ai/blog/march-25-maritime-intelligence-daily)[[3]](https://news.usni.org/2026/03/27/irgc-opens-tolled-passage-for-merchant-ships-in-strait-of-hormuz-transit-continues-to-trickle-through)[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/anadoluagencyenglish/posts/just-seven-commercial-vessels-transited-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-25-and-26-/1272799995039014)[[5]](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-ships-halt-attempt-exit-hormuz-despite-iran-safe-passage-assurances-2026-03-27)
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Volumen
$15,381Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis triggered by US-Israel-Iran conflict, commercial vessel transits have plummeted to historic lows, with Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps selectively permitting a trickle—five ships on March 23, four each on March 24 and 25, and few more through March 26—mostly Iran-linked tankers or those paying reported multimillion-dollar tolls, while others like Chinese containers were turned back on March 27. This partial-week tally of around 16 keeps trader consensus tightly clustered in the 20-34 range, reflecting uncertainty over dark fleet activity, high insurance premiums, and backlog pressures. Separation could arise from weekend escalations like attacks, US escorts enabling surges, or diplomatic breakthroughs expanding permissions before March 29 resolution.[[1]](https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/crude-oil/032526-four-ships-transit-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-24-with-two-linked-to-iran-cas)[[2]](https://windward.ai/blog/march-25-maritime-intelligence-daily)[[3]](https://news.usni.org/2026/03/27/irgc-opens-tolled-passage-for-merchant-ships-in-strait-of-hormuz-transit-continues-to-trickle-through)[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/anadoluagencyenglish/posts/just-seven-commercial-vessels-transited-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-25-and-26-/1272799995039014)[[5]](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-ships-halt-attempt-exit-hormuz-despite-iran-safe-passage-assurances-2026-03-27)
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volumen
$15,381Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis triggered by US-Israel-Iran conflict, commercial vessel transits have plummeted to historic lows, with Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps selectively permitting a trickle—five ships on March 23, four each on March 24 and 25, and few more through March 26—mostly Iran-linked tankers or those paying reported multimillion-dollar tolls, while others like Chinese containers were turned back on March 27. This partial-week tally of around 16 keeps trader consensus tightly clustered in the 20-34 range, reflecting uncertainty over dark fleet activity, high insurance premiums, and backlog pressures. Separation could arise from weekend escalations like attacks, US escorts enabling surges, or diplomatic breakthroughs expanding permissions before March 29 resolution.[[1]](https://www.spglobal.com/energy/en/news-research/latest-news/crude-oil/032526-four-ships-transit-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-24-with-two-linked-to-iran-cas)[[2]](https://windward.ai/blog/march-25-maritime-intelligence-daily)[[3]](https://news.usni.org/2026/03/27/irgc-opens-tolled-passage-for-merchant-ships-in-strait-of-hormuz-transit-continues-to-trickle-through)[[4]](https://www.facebook.com/anadoluagencyenglish/posts/just-seven-commercial-vessels-transited-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-march-25-and-26-/1272799995039014)[[5]](https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinese-ships-halt-attempt-exit-hormuz-despite-iran-safe-passage-assurances-2026-03-27)
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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