Jack Doherty’s acceptance into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program for his November 2025 amphetamine possession and resisting-arrest charges anchors the 91.6% market-implied probability of no prison time. Successful completion of the program’s terms typically results in charge dismissal without conviction or incarceration, a common outcome for first-time, non-violent cases in the jurisdiction. The September 2026 misdemeanor domestic battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale adds limited exposure, as the charge carries a one-year county jail maximum and the alleged victim sustained no injuries. Traders view these factors as creating strong barriers to custodial time. An upset remains possible if Doherty violates diversion conditions, faces new charges, or sees the domestic case escalate through plea negotiations or sentencing enhancements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Jack Doherty?
Sin tiempo en prisión 91.7%
<2 años 4.6%
Más de 5 años 2.1%
2-5 años 1.9%
$23,137 Vol.
$23,137 Vol.
Sin tiempo en prisión
92%
<2 años
5%
2-5 años
2%
Más de 5 años
2%
Sin tiempo en prisión 91.7%
<2 años 4.6%
Más de 5 años 2.1%
2-5 años 1.9%
$23,137 Vol.
$23,137 Vol.
Sin tiempo en prisión
92%
<2 años
5%
2-5 años
2%
Más de 5 años
2%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jack Doherty’s acceptance into Miami-Dade County’s felony drug pre-trial diversion program for his November 2025 amphetamine possession and resisting-arrest charges anchors the 91.6% market-implied probability of no prison time. Successful completion of the program’s terms typically results in charge dismissal without conviction or incarceration, a common outcome for first-time, non-violent cases in the jurisdiction. The September 2026 misdemeanor domestic battery arrest in Fort Lauderdale adds limited exposure, as the charge carries a one-year county jail maximum and the alleged victim sustained no injuries. Traders view these factors as creating strong barriers to custodial time. An upset remains possible if Doherty violates diversion conditions, faces new charges, or sees the domestic case escalate through plea negotiations or sentencing enhancements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes