Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell announced in April 2026 that he would remain on the Board for an unspecified period to help safeguard institutional independence amid prior administration scrutiny and investigations, marking the first such extension since 1948. With no subsequent resignation signals and ongoing focus on monetary policy under Warsh—including the September 2026 rate increase to the 3.75–4% range—trader-implied odds reflect limited near-term exit risk before the statutory endpoint. Key variables include any renewed political or legal pressures that could accelerate departure versus Powell’s stated intent to maintain a low profile through at least the resolution of outstanding matters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Jerome Powell fuera de la Junta de la Fed por...?
$447,774 Vol.
31 de diciembre
14%
$447,774 Vol.
31 de diciembre
14%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell announced in April 2026 that he would remain on the Board for an unspecified period to help safeguard institutional independence amid prior administration scrutiny and investigations, marking the first such extension since 1948. With no subsequent resignation signals and ongoing focus on monetary policy under Warsh—including the September 2026 rate increase to the 3.75–4% range—trader-implied odds reflect limited near-term exit risk before the statutory endpoint. Key variables include any renewed political or legal pressures that could accelerate departure versus Powell’s stated intent to maintain a low profile through at least the resolution of outstanding matters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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