The DOJ's criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell over 2025 congressional testimony on headquarters renovations was dropped in April 2026 after producing no evidence of wrongdoing and facing judicial pushback on subpoenas. This outcome, amid broader clashes over monetary policy independence and interest rate decisions, underpins the 97% market-implied odds against any jail time before 2027. No charges have been filed, and Powell's term is concluding without further legal escalation tied to verifiable economic data or regulatory filings. Tail risks remain limited to unforeseen post-tenure political developments or unrelated matters, though institutional barriers and lack of precedent make resolution to "Yes" highly improbable in the current environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The DOJ's criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell over 2025 congressional testimony on headquarters renovations was dropped in April 2026 after producing no evidence of wrongdoing and facing judicial pushback on subpoenas. This outcome, amid broader clashes over monetary policy independence and interest rate decisions, underpins the 97% market-implied odds against any jail time before 2027. No charges have been filed, and Powell's term is concluding without further legal escalation tied to verifiable economic data or regulatory filings. Tail risks remain limited to unforeseen post-tenure political developments or unrelated matters, though institutional barriers and lack of precedent make resolution to "Yes" highly improbable in the current environment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Volumen
$4,065Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The DOJ's criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell over 2025 congressional testimony on headquarters renovations was dropped in April 2026 after producing no evidence of wrongdoing and facing judicial pushback on subpoenas. This outcome, amid broader clashes over monetary policy independence and interest rate decisions, underpins the 97% market-implied odds against any jail time before 2027. No charges have been filed, and Powell's term is concluding without further legal escalation tied to verifiable economic data or regulatory filings. Tail risks remain limited to unforeseen post-tenure political developments or unrelated matters, though institutional barriers and lack of precedent make resolution to "Yes" highly improbable in the current environment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,065Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The DOJ's criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell over 2025 congressional testimony on headquarters renovations was dropped in April 2026 after producing no evidence of wrongdoing and facing judicial pushback on subpoenas. This outcome, amid broader clashes over monetary policy independence and interest rate decisions, underpins the 97% market-implied odds against any jail time before 2027. No charges have been filed, and Powell's term is concluding without further legal escalation tied to verifiable economic data or regulatory filings. Tail risks remain limited to unforeseen post-tenure political developments or unrelated matters, though institutional barriers and lack of precedent make resolution to "Yes" highly improbable in the current environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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