Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has anchored trader consensus against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027 at an 89.5% implied probability for No. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, recent holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range, and dot-plot projections for at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 reflect policymakers’ focus on upside inflation risks over near-term easing. Markets price minimal odds of intermeeting action absent a severe shock, with the June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$105,475 Vol.
$105,475 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$105,475 Vol.
$105,475 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has anchored trader consensus against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027 at an 89.5% implied probability for No. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, recent holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range, and dot-plot projections for at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 reflect policymakers’ focus on upside inflation risks over near-term easing. Markets price minimal odds of intermeeting action absent a severe shock, with the June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$105,475Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has anchored trader consensus against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027 at an 89.5% implied probability for No. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, recent holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range, and dot-plot projections for at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 reflect policymakers’ focus on upside inflation risks over near-term easing. Markets price minimal odds of intermeeting action absent a severe shock, with the June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,475Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, combined with a resilient labor market showing 4.3% unemployment and steady job gains, has anchored trader consensus against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027 at an 89.5% implied probability for No. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, recent holds at the 3.50–3.75% target range, and dot-plot projections for at most one 25-basis-point reduction in 2026 reflect policymakers’ focus on upside inflation risks over near-term easing. Markets price minimal odds of intermeeting action absent a severe shock, with the June 10 CPI release and June 16–17 FOMC meeting as key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or modestly shift this path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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