Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by the May 2026 CPI print showing a 0.5% monthly headline rise and 2.9% core year-over-year, combined with a firm labor market, anchors trader expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50-3.75% range through year-end. With the effective rate near 3.62% and futures pricing minimal easing until 2027, the consensus against an unscheduled intermeeting cut reflects the absence of acute downside risks or financial stress. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC decision and subsequent inflation and employment releases; a sharp deterioration in growth or an exogenous shock could still alter the path, though current data and policymaker signals point to policy patience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$105,554 Vol.
$105,554 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$105,554 Vol.
$105,554 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by the May 2026 CPI print showing a 0.5% monthly headline rise and 2.9% core year-over-year, combined with a firm labor market, anchors trader expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50-3.75% range through year-end. With the effective rate near 3.62% and futures pricing minimal easing until 2027, the consensus against an unscheduled intermeeting cut reflects the absence of acute downside risks or financial stress. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC decision and subsequent inflation and employment releases; a sharp deterioration in growth or an exogenous shock could still alter the path, though current data and policymaker signals point to policy patience.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$105,554Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by the May 2026 CPI print showing a 0.5% monthly headline rise and 2.9% core year-over-year, combined with a firm labor market, anchors trader expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50-3.75% range through year-end. With the effective rate near 3.62% and futures pricing minimal easing until 2027, the consensus against an unscheduled intermeeting cut reflects the absence of acute downside risks or financial stress. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC decision and subsequent inflation and employment releases; a sharp deterioration in growth or an exogenous shock could still alter the path, though current data and policymaker signals point to policy patience.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volumen
$105,554Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by the May 2026 CPI print showing a 0.5% monthly headline rise and 2.9% core year-over-year, combined with a firm labor market, anchors trader expectations that the federal funds rate will remain in the 3.50-3.75% range through year-end. With the effective rate near 3.62% and futures pricing minimal easing until 2027, the consensus against an unscheduled intermeeting cut reflects the absence of acute downside risks or financial stress. Key near-term catalysts include the June 16-17 FOMC decision and subsequent inflation and employment releases; a sharp deterioration in growth or an exogenous shock could still alter the path, though current data and policymaker signals point to policy patience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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