SpaceX holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds at 51.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, just ahead of Anthropic at 46.2%, as markets price in their respective private valuations and growth trajectories amid a crowded field of AI and space-tech candidates. Recent funding rounds and revenue momentum in satellite services have supported SpaceX positioning, while Anthropic benefits from surging demand for large-language-model infrastructure and strategic partnerships that could translate into higher IPO pricing. xAI trails at 25.5%, reflecting earlier-stage development and smaller disclosed capital raises. With outcomes closely matched, resolution will hinge on final pre-IPO valuations, filing timelines, and broader equity-market conditions that influence achievable market caps at debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La mayor salida a bolsa por capitalización bursátil en 2026?
¿La mayor salida a bolsa por capitalización bursátil en 2026?
SpaceX 52%
Anthropic 46.2%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,018,246 Vol.
$6,018,246 Vol.
30 dic 2026
SpaceX
52%
Anthropic
46%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Discord
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SpaceX 52%
Anthropic 46.2%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$6,018,246 Vol.
$6,018,246 Vol.
30 dic 2026
SpaceX
$881,554 Vol.
52%
Anthropic
$1,121,793 Vol.
46%
OpenAI
$564,114 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$213,990 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$134,177 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$615,211 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$583,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$318,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,808 Vol.
<1%
Discord
$182,734 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$108,136 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$660,964 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds at 51.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, just ahead of Anthropic at 46.2%, as markets price in their respective private valuations and growth trajectories amid a crowded field of AI and space-tech candidates. Recent funding rounds and revenue momentum in satellite services have supported SpaceX positioning, while Anthropic benefits from surging demand for large-language-model infrastructure and strategic partnerships that could translate into higher IPO pricing. xAI trails at 25.5%, reflecting earlier-stage development and smaller disclosed capital raises. With outcomes closely matched, resolution will hinge on final pre-IPO valuations, filing timelines, and broader equity-market conditions that influence achievable market caps at debut.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$6,018,246Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds at 51.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, just ahead of Anthropic at 46.2%, as markets price in their respective private valuations and growth trajectories amid a crowded field of AI and space-tech candidates. Recent funding rounds and revenue momentum in satellite services have supported SpaceX positioning, while Anthropic benefits from surging demand for large-language-model infrastructure and strategic partnerships that could translate into higher IPO pricing. xAI trails at 25.5%, reflecting earlier-stage development and smaller disclosed capital raises. With outcomes closely matched, resolution will hinge on final pre-IPO valuations, filing timelines, and broader equity-market conditions that influence achievable market caps at debut.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$6,018,246Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX holds a narrow edge in trader-implied odds at 51.5% for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, just ahead of Anthropic at 46.2%, as markets price in their respective private valuations and growth trajectories amid a crowded field of AI and space-tech candidates. Recent funding rounds and revenue momentum in satellite services have supported SpaceX positioning, while Anthropic benefits from surging demand for large-language-model infrastructure and strategic partnerships that could translate into higher IPO pricing. xAI trails at 25.5%, reflecting earlier-stage development and smaller disclosed capital raises. With outcomes closely matched, resolution will hinge on final pre-IPO valuations, filing timelines, and broader equity-market conditions that influence achievable market caps at debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿OpenAI no realizará una OPV antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
93%
Sí
¿La capitalización de mercado de SB Energy estará entre $80B y $100B al cierre del mercado el día de su salida a bolsa?
30%
Sí
¿La capitalización de mercado de Stripe será menor a $150 mil millones al cierre del mercado el día de su salida a bolsa?
38%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes