Extensive NASA and ESA near-Earth object surveys, including Pan-STARRS and ongoing orbital modeling, have identified no asteroids or comets on collision trajectories capable of producing a 1-megaton airburst through the end of 2026. With the current date in late August and no qualifying events recorded in the CNEOS Fireball database, trader consensus at 98.3% "No" reflects both the statistical rarity of such impacts—roughly once per century—and the maturity of detection systems that flag even smaller objects weeks or months ahead. Remaining uncertainty stems mainly from the slim possibility of a previously undetected long-period comet or trajectory calculation error, though both face steep observational and computational barriers before year-end resolution.