Traders assign a 97.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will not be abolished before 2027 because no viable legislation has advanced beyond committee referral. Bills such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced in 2025 remain stalled without broad congressional support or scheduled floor votes. The central bank’s statutory framework, established in 1913, requires repeal of the Federal Reserve Act through both chambers and presidential signature—an outcome blocked by institutional inertia, concerns over monetary stability, and ongoing focus on leadership transitions rather than structural elimination. Recent administration actions emphasize policy coordination and internal reviews instead of dissolution. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unforeseen fiscal crisis prompting emergency measures or a sudden supermajority coalition willing to accept major economic disruption, neither of which appears imminent in current congressional dynamics.