Persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East conflict and elevated energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by the strong May jobs report, have anchored the Federal Reserve's policy rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range. This backdrop supports the 65.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 rate hike, as the central bank prioritizes a hold amid above-target CPI readings while growth remains near potential. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a consensus for steady policy through year-end, with any tightening risks deferred. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$1,882,751 Vol.
$1,882,751 Vol.
9 dic 2026
Sí
$1,882,751 Vol.
$1,882,751 Vol.
9 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East conflict and elevated energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by the strong May jobs report, have anchored the Federal Reserve's policy rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range. This backdrop supports the 65.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 rate hike, as the central bank prioritizes a hold amid above-target CPI readings while growth remains near potential. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a consensus for steady policy through year-end, with any tightening risks deferred. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$1,882,751Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East conflict and elevated energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by the strong May jobs report, have anchored the Federal Reserve's policy rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range. This backdrop supports the 65.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 rate hike, as the central bank prioritizes a hold amid above-target CPI readings while growth remains near potential. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a consensus for steady policy through year-end, with any tightening risks deferred. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,882,751Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East conflict and elevated energy prices, combined with a resilient labor market highlighted by the strong May jobs report, have anchored the Federal Reserve's policy rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range. This backdrop supports the 65.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 rate hike, as the central bank prioritizes a hold amid above-target CPI readings while growth remains near potential. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a consensus for steady policy through year-end, with any tightening risks deferred. The June 17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation releases will serve as key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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