Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over additional formal entry refusals beyond the United Kingdom, which is explicitly excluded from this market's resolution criteria despite the Home Office's recent visa denial for Ye's Wireless Festival headline slot. The April 7 announcement—driven by backlash to his history of antisemitic statements and Nazi imagery—canceled the London event and resolved a companion UK-specific market to "Yes," but no other governments have issued qualifying actions like visa cancellations or exclusion orders since the market launched that day. With no confirmed international tours or mounting pressure from entities like Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders see limited catalysts for further blocks by June 30 amid Ye's volatile public persona.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over additional formal entry refusals beyond the United Kingdom, which is explicitly excluded from this market's resolution criteria despite the Home Office's recent visa denial for Ye's Wireless Festival headline slot. The April 7 announcement—driven by backlash to his history of antisemitic statements and Nazi imagery—canceled the London event and resolved a companion UK-specific market to "Yes," but no other governments have issued qualifying actions like visa cancellations or exclusion orders since the market launched that day. With no confirmed international tours or mounting pressure from entities like Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders see limited catalysts for further blocks by June 30 amid Ye's volatile public persona.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volumen
$82Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over additional formal entry refusals beyond the United Kingdom, which is explicitly excluded from this market's resolution criteria despite the Home Office's recent visa denial for Ye's Wireless Festival headline slot. The April 7 announcement—driven by backlash to his history of antisemitic statements and Nazi imagery—canceled the London event and resolved a companion UK-specific market to "Yes," but no other governments have issued qualifying actions like visa cancellations or exclusion orders since the market launched that day. With no confirmed international tours or mounting pressure from entities like Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders see limited catalysts for further blocks by June 30 amid Ye's volatile public persona.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.
Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.
A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$82Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 59.5% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over additional formal entry refusals beyond the United Kingdom, which is explicitly excluded from this market's resolution criteria despite the Home Office's recent visa denial for Ye's Wireless Festival headline slot. The April 7 announcement—driven by backlash to his history of antisemitic statements and Nazi imagery—canceled the London event and resolved a companion UK-specific market to "Yes," but no other governments have issued qualifying actions like visa cancellations or exclusion orders since the market launched that day. With no confirmed international tours or mounting pressure from entities like Australia's prior 2025 ban, traders see limited catalysts for further blocks by June 30 amid Ye's volatile public persona.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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