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icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$17,735 Vol.

<5 100.0%

5-9 <1%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket

$17,735 Vol.

<5

$5,739 Vol.

Yes

5-9

$3,145 Vol.

No

10-14

$1,486 Vol.

No

15-19

$1,038 Vol.

No

20-24

$991 Vol.

No

25-29

$1,470 Vol.

No

30-34

$1,383 Vol.

No

35-39

$440 Vol.

No

40-44

$321 Vol.

No

45-49

$358 Vol.

No

50-54

$406 Vol.

No

55-59

$406 Vol.

No

60+

$551 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$17,735
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The official @khamenei_ir account, maintained as statements from the martyred Ali Khamenei, maintains a low-volume posting pattern focused on occasional official releases, commemorations, and translated remarks rather than daily or high-frequency updates.** This established rhythm has produced trader consensus around fewer than five posts in the Aug 11–18 window. Mojtaba Khamenei, selected as supreme leader in March 2026 following his father’s death, operates separate accounts and has focused recent activity on military appointments and regional messaging without shifting the flagship account’s cadence. Historical base rates for the handle show sparse output outside major crises, reinforcing the current pricing. A sudden escalation in Iran–Israel–U.S. tensions, a high-profile domestic announcement, or a shift in account management could increase volume, but no such catalyst has materialized in the resolution period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$17,735
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 100%, seguido de "5-9" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" ha generado $17.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 8, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" es "<5" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "5-9" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 11 al 18 de agosto de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.