Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 11 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 11 de julio?
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F o menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Vol.
$47,830 Vol.
11 jul 2026
71°F o menos
No
72-73°F
Sí
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F o más
No
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F o menos <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Vol.
$47,830 Vol.
11 jul 2026
71°F o menos
$6,161 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$5,507 Vol.
Sí
74-75°F
$6,529 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,797 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,420 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$6,377 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,919 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$5,126 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,930 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$1,195 Vol.
No
90°F o más
$1,870 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$47,830Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$47,830Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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