Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 24 de abril?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 24 de abril?
48-49°F 100.0%
41°F o menos <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 Vol.
$49,008 Vol.
24 abr 2026
41°F o menos
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Sí
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59 °F
No
60°F o más
No
48-49°F 100.0%
41°F o menos <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 Vol.
$49,008 Vol.
24 abr 2026
41°F o menos
$3,059 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$7,677 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$5,400 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$10,077 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$7,315 Vol.
Sí
50-51°F
$2,370 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,167 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,587 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$3,063 Vol.
No
58-59 °F
$1,140 Vol.
No
60°F o más
$5,153 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$49,008Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$49,008Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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