Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 20 de julio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 20 de julio?
66-67°F 100.0%
53°F o menos <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$33,872 Vol.
$33,872 Vol.
20 jul 2026
53°F o menos
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Sí
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F o más
No
66-67°F 100.0%
53°F o menos <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$33,872 Vol.
$33,872 Vol.
20 jul 2026
53°F o menos
$398 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$488 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$8,548 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$9,422 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,602 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,332 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,115 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,106 Vol.
Sí
68-69°F
$1,486 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,516 Vol.
No
72°F o más
$1,858 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$33,872Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,872Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes