Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 9 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 9 de mayo?
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o menos <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 Vol.
$39,433 Vol.
9 may 2026
43°F o menos
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
Sí
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F o más
No
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F o menos <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$39,433 Vol.
$39,433 Vol.
9 may 2026
43°F o menos
$10,238 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$6,726 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,759 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$2,081 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$2,258 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$3,026 Vol.
Sí
54-55°F
$3,761 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,689 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,039 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,619 Vol.
No
62°F o más
$3,236 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$39,433Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$39,433Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Verified observations from NOAA's Central Park station (USW00094728)—the authoritative source for New York City climate records—confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, reached 11°C (52°F), driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 52-53°F outcome. Partial cloud cover overnight, light southerly winds around 5-10 mph, and persistent urban heat island effects curtailed radiative cooling, preventing drops below 52°F despite cooler air mass advection. This matches multi-model forecast guidance from NOAA's GFS and European ECMWF ensembles issued 24-48 hours prior, which projected minima in the low 50s°F. Final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could theoretically revise the reading via rare sensor calibration adjustments, but independent ASOS reports corroborate the figure, solidifying resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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