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icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?

¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?

icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?

¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?

18°C o menos 100.0%

19°C <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$15,842 Vol.

18°C o menos 100.0%

19°C <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$15,842 Vol.

18°C o menos

$2,820 Vol.

19°C

$2,762 Vol.

No

20°C

$1,745 Vol.

No

21°C

$1,701 Vol.

No

22°C

$1,576 Vol.

No

23°C

$586 Vol.

No

24°C

$680 Vol.

No

25°C

$1,024 Vol.

No

26°C

$983 Vol.

No

27°C

$1,565 Vol.

No

28°C o más

$400 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,842
Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and European models centers trader focus on a minimum near 19°C for Paris on June 20, reflecting a modest lull in the mid-June heatwave as an Atlantic influence brings slightly cooler air and a 60% chance of light rain or increased cloud cover. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while light winds (8–35 km/h) reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate overnight lows. Ensemble spreads and typical model uncertainty at this lead time produce the observed clustering of probabilities around 18–21°C, consistent with climatological June minima of 13–15°C being elevated by the persistent warm anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum reading.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,842
Fecha de finalización
20 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "18°C o menos" con 100%, seguido de "19°C" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?" ha generado $15.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 18, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?" es "18°C o menos" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "19°C" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.