Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 9 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 9 de julio?
23°C 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,453 Vol.
$42,453 Vol.
9 jul 2026
18°C o menos
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sí
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o más
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,453 Vol.
$42,453 Vol.
9 jul 2026
18°C o menos
$2,556 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,799 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,660 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,897 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,481 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,577 Vol.
Sí
24°C
$9,426 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,390 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,626 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,102 Vol.
No
28°C o más
$2,941 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$42,453Fecha de finalización
9 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,453Fecha de finalización
9 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent monsoon (Changma) activity and associated cloud cover over the Korean Peninsula are the main drivers keeping Seoul's July 9 overnight low centered near the historical 23–24 °C average. Persistent humidity and periodic rain suppress nighttime radiative cooling by trapping long-wave radiation, while any breaks in cloud allowing clearer skies could permit greater heat loss and push the minimum toward 21–22 °C. Short-range model consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration shows limited day-to-day variability this week, with steering winds and frontal position as the key variables that could shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Trader prices clustered tightly around 22–25 °C reflect this narrow uncertainty band two days before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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