Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 19°C on June 13, aligning with mid-June climatological normals of roughly 18.6°C and recent model guidance showing calm conditions with limited overnight cooling. This consensus, reinforced by consistent regional observations and typical early-summer humidity patterns that moderate temperature drops, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 19°C low. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized station variations, an unexpected late-evening frontal passage, or minor adjustments in final verified readings from the primary Tokyo observatory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 13 de junio?
19°C 100.0%
11°C o menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$16,764 Vol.
$16,764 Vol.
11°C o menos
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C o más
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C o menos <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$16,764 Vol.
$16,764 Vol.
11°C o menos
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency place Tokyo's overnight minimum near 19°C on June 13, aligning with mid-June climatological normals of roughly 18.6°C and recent model guidance showing calm conditions with limited overnight cooling. This consensus, reinforced by consistent regional observations and typical early-summer humidity patterns that moderate temperature drops, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 19°C low. Uncertainties remain low but could arise from localized station variations, an unexpected late-evening frontal passage, or minor adjustments in final verified readings from the primary Tokyo observatory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes