Michael's second domestic weekend box office odds reflect a razor-thin trader consensus after its record-shattering $97 million opening, with implied probabilities nearly split between $50-55 million (48.5%) and over $55 million (48.4%). Strong word-of-mouth from fans—defying poor critical reception—has fueled impressive legs, evidenced by Saturday's $23 million haul, a sub-30% drop signaling sustained audience demand amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Tracking estimates hover at $54 million, but final Sunday figures and holdover performance will decide the razor-edge outcome, as historical music biopic comps like Bohemian Rhapsody underscore potential for further multipliers if buzz persists. Official tallies drop Monday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado"Michael" 2º Fin de Semana Taquilla
"Michael" 2º Fin de Semana Taquilla
50-55 millones 49%
>55 millones 48.4%
45-50 millones <1%
<35m <1%
$125,916 Vol.
$125,916 Vol.
4 may 2026
<35m
<1%
35-40 millones
<1%
40-45 millones
<1%
45-50 millones
<1%
50-55 millones
49%
>55 millones
48%
50-55 millones 49%
>55 millones 48.4%
45-50 millones <1%
<35m <1%
$125,916 Vol.
$125,916 Vol.
4 may 2026
<35m
$14,796 Vol.
<1%
35-40 millones
$21,035 Vol.
<1%
40-45 millones
$8,934 Vol.
<1%
45-50 millones
$15,254 Vol.
<1%
50-55 millones
$37,630 Vol.
49%
>55 millones
$36,008 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Michael's second domestic weekend box office odds reflect a razor-thin trader consensus after its record-shattering $97 million opening, with implied probabilities nearly split between $50-55 million (48.5%) and over $55 million (48.4%). Strong word-of-mouth from fans—defying poor critical reception—has fueled impressive legs, evidenced by Saturday's $23 million haul, a sub-30% drop signaling sustained audience demand amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Tracking estimates hover at $54 million, but final Sunday figures and holdover performance will decide the razor-edge outcome, as historical music biopic comps like Bohemian Rhapsody underscore potential for further multipliers if buzz persists. Official tallies drop Monday.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Volumen
$125,916Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Michael's second domestic weekend box office odds reflect a razor-thin trader consensus after its record-shattering $97 million opening, with implied probabilities nearly split between $50-55 million (48.5%) and over $55 million (48.4%). Strong word-of-mouth from fans—defying poor critical reception—has fueled impressive legs, evidenced by Saturday's $23 million haul, a sub-30% drop signaling sustained audience demand amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Tracking estimates hover at $54 million, but final Sunday figures and holdover performance will decide the razor-edge outcome, as historical music biopic comps like Bohemian Rhapsody underscore potential for further multipliers if buzz persists. Official tallies drop Monday.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$125,916Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Michael's second domestic weekend box office odds reflect a razor-thin trader consensus after its record-shattering $97 million opening, with implied probabilities nearly split between $50-55 million (48.5%) and over $55 million (48.4%). Strong word-of-mouth from fans—defying poor critical reception—has fueled impressive legs, evidenced by Saturday's $23 million haul, a sub-30% drop signaling sustained audience demand amid competition from Devil Wears Prada 2. Tracking estimates hover at $54 million, but final Sunday figures and holdover performance will decide the razor-edge outcome, as historical music biopic comps like Bohemian Rhapsody underscore potential for further multipliers if buzz persists. Official tallies drop Monday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes