Microsoft's shares closed at $464.72 on July 31 after surging on fiscal Q4 results that beat estimates, with revenue at $90 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.74, fueled by 43% Azure growth and sustained capital expenditure guidance amid AI demand. This momentum follows a roughly 19% year-to-date decline through late July, leaving the stock positioned for potential further gains into month-end amid ongoing cloud expansion and analyst upward revisions. Key near-term factors include the August 20 ex-dividend date and broader tech sector sentiment tied to interest rate expectations, with the next earnings release not until late October. Trader consensus on end-of-August closing levels reflects these fundamentals alongside macroeconomic data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of August?
$375
50%
$390
50%
$405
50%
$420
50%
$435
50%
$450
50%
$465
50%
$480
50%
$495
50%
$510
50%
$525
50%
$540
50%
$555
50%
$0.00 Vol.
$375
50%
$390
50%
$405
50%
$420
50%
$435
50%
$450
50%
$465
50%
$480
50%
$495
50%
$510
50%
$525
50%
$540
50%
$555
50%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft's shares closed at $464.72 on July 31 after surging on fiscal Q4 results that beat estimates, with revenue at $90 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.74, fueled by 43% Azure growth and sustained capital expenditure guidance amid AI demand. This momentum follows a roughly 19% year-to-date decline through late July, leaving the stock positioned for potential further gains into month-end amid ongoing cloud expansion and analyst upward revisions. Key near-term factors include the August 20 ex-dividend date and broader tech sector sentiment tied to interest rate expectations, with the next earnings release not until late October. Trader consensus on end-of-August closing levels reflects these fundamentals alongside macroeconomic data releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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