The tight clustering of trader consensus around No. 1 seed (45%) and No. 9 seed (43.5%) probabilities reflects the women's NCAA Tournament Final Four featuring two battle-tested No. 1s—South Carolina and Iowa—against UConn (3) and Cinderella NC State (9). NC State's improbable run through upsets over Tennessee (2) and Texas (1) in the Spokane Regional has injected massive momentum, elevating 9-seed odds despite historical dominance by top-4 seeds (8 of last 10 champions). Iowa's Caitlin Clark-fueled resilience keeps multiple 1-seeds viable, while No. 2 (39.5%) and No. 6 (38%) linger on eliminated contenders' form; lower seeds cluster at 25% amid Final Four volatility, underscoring bracket parity and upset risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
NCAA Tournament: National Champion Seed
9 96%
10 50%
11 50%
12 50%
1
45%
2
40%
3
18%
4
35%
5
30%
6
38%
7
16%
8
25%
9
96%
10
50%
11
50%
12
50%
13
50%
14
50%
15
50%
16
50%
9 96%
10 50%
11 50%
12 50%
1
45%
2
40%
3
18%
4
35%
5
30%
6
38%
7
16%
8
25%
9
96%
10
50%
11
50%
12
50%
13
50%
14
50%
15
50%
16
50%
If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of trader consensus around No. 1 seed (45%) and No. 9 seed (43.5%) probabilities reflects the women's NCAA Tournament Final Four featuring two battle-tested No. 1s—South Carolina and Iowa—against UConn (3) and Cinderella NC State (9). NC State's improbable run through upsets over Tennessee (2) and Texas (1) in the Spokane Regional has injected massive momentum, elevating 9-seed odds despite historical dominance by top-4 seeds (8 of last 10 champions). Iowa's Caitlin Clark-fueled resilience keeps multiple 1-seeds viable, while No. 2 (39.5%) and No. 6 (38%) linger on eliminated contenders' form; lower seeds cluster at 25% amid Final Four volatility, underscoring bracket parity and upset risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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