Trader consensus favors current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to continue into the 2026/27 La Liga season, reflecting club continuity despite his January appointment replacing Xabi Alonso and subsequent struggles, including a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16 that amplified pressure for change. José Mourinho has surged to 32% following April 18 reports from Record Portugal of him offering services from Benfica, potential Florentino Pérez meetings, and endorsements like Kylian Mbappé's social media activity. Mauricio Pochettino sits at 27.1% on ESPN-sourced shortlists since March, valued by executives for his pedigree amid the post-elimination managerial search.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJose Mourinho 32%
Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%
Jurgen Klopp 15%
Unai Emery 12%
$34,041 Vol.
$34,041 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Jose Mourinho
32%
Mauricio Pochettino
23%
Jurgen Klopp
15%
Unai Emery
12%
Enzo Maresca
16%
Luis Enrique
5%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Didier Deschamps
5%
Massimiliano Allegri
4%
Oliver Glasner
4%
Andoni Iraola
3%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
Jose Mourinho 32%
Mauricio Pochettino 22.9%
Jurgen Klopp 15%
Unai Emery 12%
$34,041 Vol.
$34,041 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Jose Mourinho
$4,248 Vol.
32%
Mauricio Pochettino
$654 Vol.
23%
Jurgen Klopp
$10,643 Vol.
15%
Unai Emery
$501 Vol.
12%
Enzo Maresca
$3,303 Vol.
16%
Luis Enrique
$703 Vol.
5%
Zinedine Zidane
$2,231 Vol.
5%
Didier Deschamps
$1,044 Vol.
5%
Massimiliano Allegri
$8,123 Vol.
4%
Oliver Glasner
$325 Vol.
4%
Andoni Iraola
$357 Vol.
3%
Mikel Arteta
$719 Vol.
1%
Thomas Tuchel
$281 Vol.
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
$321 Vol.
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
$590 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to continue into the 2026/27 La Liga season, reflecting club continuity despite his January appointment replacing Xabi Alonso and subsequent struggles, including a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16 that amplified pressure for change. José Mourinho has surged to 32% following April 18 reports from Record Portugal of him offering services from Benfica, potential Florentino Pérez meetings, and endorsements like Kylian Mbappé's social media activity. Mauricio Pochettino sits at 27.1% on ESPN-sourced shortlists since March, valued by executives for his pedigree amid the post-elimination managerial search.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volumen
$34,041Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to continue into the 2026/27 La Liga season, reflecting club continuity despite his January appointment replacing Xabi Alonso and subsequent struggles, including a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16 that amplified pressure for change. José Mourinho has surged to 32% following April 18 reports from Record Portugal of him offering services from Benfica, potential Florentino Pérez meetings, and endorsements like Kylian Mbappé's social media activity. Mauricio Pochettino sits at 27.1% on ESPN-sourced shortlists since March, valued by executives for his pedigree amid the post-elimination managerial search.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$34,041Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at 49.5% implied probability to continue into the 2026/27 La Liga season, reflecting club continuity despite his January appointment replacing Xabi Alonso and subsequent struggles, including a Champions League quarterfinal exit to Bayern Munich on April 16 that amplified pressure for change. José Mourinho has surged to 32% following April 18 reports from Record Portugal of him offering services from Benfica, potential Florentino Pérez meetings, and endorsements like Kylian Mbappé's social media activity. Mauricio Pochettino sits at 27.1% on ESPN-sourced shortlists since March, valued by executives for his pedigree amid the post-elimination managerial search.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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