Uncertainty surrounding current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa's position after a Champions League exit and trophyless season has driven trader consensus to a tight split, with José Mourinho edging ahead at 57% implied probability as president Florentino Pérez's reported top choice for a return. Late April reports highlight Mourinho's Benfica break clause, past Bernabéu success, and strongman appeal to control the dressing room amid squad unrest. Arbeloa's 49.5% reflects his club legend status, recent internal promotion replacing Xabi Alonso, and faint hopes of retention despite poor results. Lower probabilities for Jürgen Klopp, Julian Nagelsmann, and Didier Deschamps underscore focus on Pérez's preferences and immediate impact needs in La Liga title defense.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJose Mourinho 56%
Jurgen Klopp 13%
Didier Deschamps 8.8%
Lionel Scaloni 8.0%
$56,701 Vol.
$56,701 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
56%
Jurgen Klopp
13%
Didier Deschamps
9%
Lionel Scaloni
8%
Mauricio Pochettino
7%
Enzo Maresca
7%
Unai Emery
5%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Massimiliano Allegri
2%
Luis Enrique
2%
Julian Nagelsmann
9%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Jose Mourinho 56%
Jurgen Klopp 13%
Didier Deschamps 8.8%
Lionel Scaloni 8.0%
$56,701 Vol.
$56,701 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
56%
Jurgen Klopp
13%
Didier Deschamps
9%
Lionel Scaloni
8%
Mauricio Pochettino
7%
Enzo Maresca
7%
Unai Emery
5%
Zinedine Zidane
5%
Massimiliano Allegri
2%
Luis Enrique
2%
Julian Nagelsmann
9%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Uncertainty surrounding current Real Madrid head coach Álvaro Arbeloa's position after a Champions League exit and trophyless season has driven trader consensus to a tight split, with José Mourinho edging ahead at 57% implied probability as president Florentino Pérez's reported top choice for a return. Late April reports highlight Mourinho's Benfica break clause, past Bernabéu success, and strongman appeal to control the dressing room amid squad unrest. Arbeloa's 49.5% reflects his club legend status, recent internal promotion replacing Xabi Alonso, and faint hopes of retention despite poor results. Lower probabilities for Jürgen Klopp, Julian Nagelsmann, and Didier Deschamps underscore focus on Pérez's preferences and immediate impact needs in La Liga title defense.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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