Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares in a dead heat, with 49.5% implied odds for both the $80-$90 and $90-$100 bins by the March 30 week close, reflecting tight contention around the current $93 closing level amid volatile short-term positioning. The primary catalyst: Netflix's March 26 announcement of U.S. subscription price hikes across all tiers ($1-$2 monthly), lifting shares 1.13% to $93.32 Thursday and boosting average revenue per user projections 6% year-over-year. However, competitive dynamics with Disney+ and Amazon Prime Video intensify churn risks, tempering gains despite ad-tier growth and live sports bets. Analyst consensus targets $114+, but Q1 earnings April 16 represent the key swing factor for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$80-$90 50%
$90-$100 50%
$50-$60 49%
$70-$80 49%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$50
49%
$50-$60
49%
$60-$70
48%
$70-$80
49%
$80-$90
50%
$90-$100
50%
$100-$110
49%
$110-$120
49%
$120-$130
49%
$130-$140
49%
>$140
2%
$80-$90 50%
$90-$100 50%
$50-$60 49%
$70-$80 49%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$50
$0 Vol.
49%
$50-$60
$0 Vol.
49%
$60-$70
$0 Vol.
48%
$70-$80
$0 Vol.
49%
$80-$90
$0 Vol.
50%
$90-$100
$0 Vol.
50%
$100-$110
$0 Vol.
49%
$110-$120
$0 Vol.
49%
$120-$130
$0 Vol.
49%
$130-$140
$0 Vol.
49%
>$140
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares in a dead heat, with 49.5% implied odds for both the $80-$90 and $90-$100 bins by the March 30 week close, reflecting tight contention around the current $93 closing level amid volatile short-term positioning. The primary catalyst: Netflix's March 26 announcement of U.S. subscription price hikes across all tiers ($1-$2 monthly), lifting shares 1.13% to $93.32 Thursday and boosting average revenue per user projections 6% year-over-year. However, competitive dynamics with Disney+ and Amazon Prime Video intensify churn risks, tempering gains despite ad-tier growth and live sports bets. Analyst consensus targets $114+, but Q1 earnings April 16 represent the key swing factor for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares in a dead heat, with 49.5% implied odds for both the $80-$90 and $90-$100 bins by the March 30 week close, reflecting tight contention around the current $93 closing level amid volatile short-term positioning. The primary catalyst: Netflix's March 26 announcement of U.S. subscription price hikes across all tiers ($1-$2 monthly), lifting shares 1.13% to $93.32 Thursday and boosting average revenue per user projections 6% year-over-year. However, competitive dynamics with Disney+ and Amazon Prime Video intensify churn risks, tempering gains despite ad-tier growth and live sports bets. Analyst consensus targets $114+, but Q1 earnings April 16 represent the key swing factor for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Apr 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares in a dead heat, with 49.5% implied odds for both the $80-$90 and $90-$100 bins by the March 30 week close, reflecting tight contention around the current $93 closing level amid volatile short-term positioning. The primary catalyst: Netflix's March 26 announcement of U.S. subscription price hikes across all tiers ($1-$2 monthly), lifting shares 1.13% to $93.32 Thursday and boosting average revenue per user projections 6% year-over-year. However, competitive dynamics with Disney+ and Amazon Prime Video intensify churn risks, tempering gains despite ad-tier growth and live sports bets. Analyst consensus targets $114+, but Q1 earnings April 16 represent the key swing factor for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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