Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 96.9% for the May resolution window because the month has featured no major elections, legislative breakthroughs, diplomatic summits, or escalations in active conflicts that would qualify as significant events. With the period nearly complete, the absence of polling shifts, cabinet confirmations, sanctions announcements, or military actions has reinforced the high implied probability. Historical patterns of quiet periods in non-election years support this positioning. Even at this level, outcomes could shift if late developments such as sudden policy announcements, international incidents, or unexpected resignations occur before the final hours of May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNothing Ever Happens: May
Nada
$195,479 Vol.
$195,479 Vol.
Nada
$195,479 Vol.
$195,479 Vol.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 96.9% for the May resolution window because the month has featured no major elections, legislative breakthroughs, diplomatic summits, or escalations in active conflicts that would qualify as significant events. With the period nearly complete, the absence of polling shifts, cabinet confirmations, sanctions announcements, or military actions has reinforced the high implied probability. Historical patterns of quiet periods in non-election years support this positioning. Even at this level, outcomes could shift if late developments such as sudden policy announcements, international incidents, or unexpected resignations occur before the final hours of May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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