The three newly promoted sides—Hull City, Coventry City, and Ipswich Town—dominate trader consensus for the bottom three spots due to the persistent gap in squad depth, physical intensity, and underlying metrics between the Championship and Premier League. Preseason models and bookmakers consistently assign the highest relegation probabilities to this trio, with Hull viewed as the clearest candidate after limited top-flight experience and modest summer reinforcement. Early 2026-27 results, including Hull’s opening win over Manchester United and Ipswich’s victory at Sunderland, offer short-term optimism but align with historical patterns where promoted clubs often start brightly before facing fixture difficulty and injury attrition. Established sides such as Sunderland, Nottingham Forest, Fulham, and Crystal Palace carry secondary risk from squad turnover, managerial transitions, and potential second-season regression, though their experience provides clearer survival pathways than the newcomers.