Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Precio de cierre del S&P 500 (SPX) el 8 de abril?
¿Precio de cierre del S&P 500 (SPX) el 8 de abril?
6700–6800 100.0%
<6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 Vol.
$18,104 Vol.
8 abr 2026
<6600
No
6600–6700
No
6700–6800
Sí
6800–6900
No
6900–7000
No
7000+
No
6700–6800 100.0%
<6600 <1%
6600–6700 <1%
6800–6900 <1%
$18,104 Vol.
$18,104 Vol.
8 abr 2026
<6600
$1,648 Vol.
No
6600–6700
$1,483 Vol.
No
6700–6800
$1,675 Vol.
Sí
6800–6900
$2,649 Vol.
No
6900–7000
$9,295 Vol.
No
7000+
$1,353 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Volumen
$18,104Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on April 8, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the April 8, 2026 trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$18,104Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for the S&P 500 closing in the 6700–6800 range on April 8, 2026, aligning with the index's official settlement at 6,782.81 after a 2.5% surge from the prior day's 6,616.85 close. This strong positioning was driven by a U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire deal averting escalation, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and triggering a 16–20% oil price collapse to under $95 per barrel, alleviating inflation fears and igniting a broad relief rally—evident in the Dow's 1,300-point gain and Nasdaq's 2.8% advance. With exchange-verified data now public, challenges would require unprecedented revisions to closing prints, though trader capital overwhelmingly backs the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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