Strong market-implied odds for a sub-$9 million 7th weekend reflect the film’s rapid post-opening decline curve after its record $360 million domestic debut on July 31. Typical for tentpoles with 2.57 legs, “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” has seen successive weekend drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% as theater counts fell from 4,539 to around 3,520 and new competition including “Coyote vs. Acme” and holdovers like “The Odyssey” entered the marketplace. With domestic totals already exceeding $926 million by early September and daily grosses dipping below $1 million, traders see little room for a meaningful rebound absent an unexpected late surge in audience demand. An upset into the $9–12 million range would require either unusually strong word-of-mouth momentum or a major marketing push that has not materialized in recent tracking.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del séptimo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"
Taquilla del séptimo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"
<9m 96%
9-10 millones 2.9%
10-11m 1.1%
11-12 millones <1%
NUEVO
$35,155 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,155 Vol.
13 sep 2026
<9m
96%
9-10 millones
3%
10-11m
1%
11-12 millones
1%
12 millones+
<1%
<9m 96%
9-10 millones 2.9%
10-11m 1.1%
11-12 millones <1%
NUEVO
$35,155 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,155 Vol.
13 sep 2026
<9m
$18,590 Vol.
96%
9-10 millones
$8,138 Vol.
3%
10-11m
$6,535 Vol.
1%
11-12 millones
$1,410 Vol.
1%
12 millones+
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong market-implied odds for a sub-$9 million 7th weekend reflect the film’s rapid post-opening decline curve after its record $360 million domestic debut on July 31. Typical for tentpoles with 2.57 legs, “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” has seen successive weekend drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% as theater counts fell from 4,539 to around 3,520 and new competition including “Coyote vs. Acme” and holdovers like “The Odyssey” entered the marketplace. With domestic totals already exceeding $926 million by early September and daily grosses dipping below $1 million, traders see little room for a meaningful rebound absent an unexpected late surge in audience demand. An upset into the $9–12 million range would require either unusually strong word-of-mouth momentum or a major marketing push that has not materialized in recent tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volumen
$35,155Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong market-implied odds for a sub-$9 million 7th weekend reflect the film’s rapid post-opening decline curve after its record $360 million domestic debut on July 31. Typical for tentpoles with 2.57 legs, “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” has seen successive weekend drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% as theater counts fell from 4,539 to around 3,520 and new competition including “Coyote vs. Acme” and holdovers like “The Odyssey” entered the marketplace. With domestic totals already exceeding $926 million by early September and daily grosses dipping below $1 million, traders see little room for a meaningful rebound absent an unexpected late surge in audience demand. An upset into the $9–12 million range would require either unusually strong word-of-mouth momentum or a major marketing push that has not materialized in recent tracking.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$35,155Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong market-implied odds for a sub-$9 million 7th weekend reflect the film’s rapid post-opening decline curve after its record $360 million domestic debut on July 31. Typical for tentpoles with 2.57 legs, “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” has seen successive weekend drops of 60%, 51%, 45%, and 42% as theater counts fell from 4,539 to around 3,520 and new competition including “Coyote vs. Acme” and holdovers like “The Odyssey” entered the marketplace. With domestic totals already exceeding $926 million by early September and daily grosses dipping below $1 million, traders see little room for a meaningful rebound absent an unexpected late surge in audience demand. An upset into the $9–12 million range would require either unusually strong word-of-mouth momentum or a major marketing push that has not materialized in recent tracking.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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