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icon for Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

icon for Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

Matt Damon 27%

Tom Cruise 26%

Andrew Scott 12%

John Malkovich 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Matt Damon 27%

Tom Cruise 26%

Andrew Scott 12%

John Malkovich 11%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$1,837 Vol.

27%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$1,840 Vol.

26%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$88 Vol.

12%

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$104 Vol.

11%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$999 Vol.

10%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$31 Vol.

8%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$88 Vol.

7%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$88 Vol.

6%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$88 Vol.

5%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$88 Vol.

5%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$79 Vol.

6%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$54 Vol.

3%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$54 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$54 Vol.

1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$54 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$54 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$54 Vol.

1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages, trader sentiment for Best Actor shows a crowded field of contenders priced at similar levels, reflecting limited 2026 release data and no clear frontrunner yet. Established stars such as Matt Damon hold the highest implied probability due to career momentum and anticipated projects, while names like Tom Cruise, Ryan Gosling, and Timothée Chalamet trade lower amid broader competition from festival hopefuls and studio campaigns. Differentiating factors will hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and box-office performance once fall releases hit. Historical patterns suggest late-year breakthroughs can rapidly shift consensus before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,656
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages, trader sentiment for Best Actor shows a crowded field of contenders priced at similar levels, reflecting limited 2026 release data and no clear frontrunner yet. Established stars such as Matt Damon hold the highest implied probability due to career momentum and anticipated projects, while names like Tom Cruise, Ryan Gosling, and Timothée Chalamet trade lower amid broader competition from festival hopefuls and studio campaigns. Differentiating factors will hinge on upcoming critical reception, guild nominations from SAG-AFTRA and others, and box-office performance once fall releases hit. Historical patterns suggest late-year breakthroughs can rapidly shift consensus before voting begins.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$5,656
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 17 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Matt Damon" con 27%, seguido de "Tom Cruise" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 28, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor", explora los 17 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" es "Matt Damon" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Cruise" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.