Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoÓscar 2027: Ganador al mejor director
Óscar 2027: Ganador al mejor director
Christopher Nolan 69%
Denis Villeneuve 14%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu 8%
Jesse Eisenberg 5.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 mar 2027
Christopher Nolan
69%
Denis Villeneuve
14%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
8%
Jesse Eisenberg
6%
Martin McDonagh
4%
Phil Lord o Christopher Miller
4%
Aaron Sorkin
4%
Steven Spielberg
2%
David O. Russell
1%
Lance Oppenheim
1%
Peter Farrelly
1%
Jordan Firstman
1%
Bassam Tariq
<1%
Olivia Wilde
<1%
Christopher Nolan 69%
Denis Villeneuve 14%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu 8%
Jesse Eisenberg 5.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 mar 2027
Christopher Nolan
$1,652 Vol.
69%
Denis Villeneuve
$190 Vol.
14%
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
$209 Vol.
8%
Jesse Eisenberg
$180 Vol.
6%
Martin McDonagh
$169 Vol.
4%
Phil Lord o Christopher Miller
$150 Vol.
4%
Aaron Sorkin
$122 Vol.
4%
Steven Spielberg
$190 Vol.
2%
David O. Russell
$130 Vol.
1%
Lance Oppenheim
$630 Vol.
1%
Peter Farrelly
$119 Vol.
1%
Jordan Firstman
$138 Vol.
1%
Bassam Tariq
$129 Vol.
<1%
Olivia Wilde
$110 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$4,119Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director.
If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$4,119Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” has anchored trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability, fueled by strong early reviews, Universal’s awards push, and Academy goodwill following his Oppenheimer win. The film’s scale, craft pedigree, and Matt Damon-led ensemble position it as the early frontrunner for 2027 Best Director. Late-year releases such as Denis Villeneuve’s “Dune: Part Three” (13.5%) and projects from Martin McDonagh or Jesse Eisenberg remain in play but trail significantly, with their final positioning dependent on critical reception and guild momentum. Traders are pricing in Nolan’s historical voting patterns while noting that December releases and precursor awards could still shift the field before nominations lock.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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