With the 2027 Oscars still months from key precursors, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of 2026 releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% on the strength of its reported ensemble scale and Christopher Nolan's track record, yet remains vulnerable to late breakthroughs. Films like The Black Ball and Wild Horse Nine sit in the mid-teens to low double-digits, buoyed by early buzz around their period or ensemble casts, while Dune: Part Three and Being Heumann trail on smaller percentages amid limited confirmed casting details. Absent guild nominations or critics' awards, the market prices in the inherent unpredictability of secret-ballot voting and the impact of upcoming festival screenings and guild shortlists that could quickly reorder momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 30.6%
UNABOMBER 12%
Wild Horse Nine 7.4%
$11,458 Vol.
$11,458 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
43%
The Black Ball
31%
UNABOMBER
12%
Wild Horse Nine
12%
Being Heumann
6%
Obsession
6%
Dune: Part Three
6%
Cry to Heaven
13%
Fjord
4%
Clarissa
3%
Digger
1%
Michael
1%
Saturn Return
<1%
The Odyssey 43%
The Black Ball 30.6%
UNABOMBER 12%
Wild Horse Nine 7.4%
$11,458 Vol.
$11,458 Vol.
14 mar 2027
The Odyssey
$7,254 Vol.
43%
The Black Ball
$614 Vol.
31%
UNABOMBER
$343 Vol.
12%
Wild Horse Nine
$386 Vol.
12%
Being Heumann
$270 Vol.
6%
Obsession
$308 Vol.
6%
Dune: Part Three
$387 Vol.
6%
Cry to Heaven
$350 Vol.
13%
Fjord
$320 Vol.
4%
Clarissa
$366 Vol.
3%
Digger
$341 Vol.
1%
Michael
$258 Vol.
1%
Saturn Return
$261 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still months from key precursors, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of 2026 releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% on the strength of its reported ensemble scale and Christopher Nolan's track record, yet remains vulnerable to late breakthroughs. Films like The Black Ball and Wild Horse Nine sit in the mid-teens to low double-digits, buoyed by early buzz around their period or ensemble casts, while Dune: Part Three and Being Heumann trail on smaller percentages amid limited confirmed casting details. Absent guild nominations or critics' awards, the market prices in the inherent unpredictability of secret-ballot voting and the impact of upcoming festival screenings and guild shortlists that could quickly reorder momentum.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volumen
$11,458Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still months from key precursors, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of 2026 releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% on the strength of its reported ensemble scale and Christopher Nolan's track record, yet remains vulnerable to late breakthroughs. Films like The Black Ball and Wild Horse Nine sit in the mid-teens to low double-digits, buoyed by early buzz around their period or ensemble casts, while Dune: Part Three and Being Heumann trail on smaller percentages amid limited confirmed casting details. Absent guild nominations or critics' awards, the market prices in the inherent unpredictability of secret-ballot voting and the impact of upcoming festival screenings and guild shortlists that could quickly reorder momentum.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$11,458Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars still months from key precursors, trader sentiment reflects broad uncertainty across a wide field of 2026 releases. The Odyssey holds the highest implied probability at 42.5% on the strength of its reported ensemble scale and Christopher Nolan's track record, yet remains vulnerable to late breakthroughs. Films like The Black Ball and Wild Horse Nine sit in the mid-teens to low double-digits, buoyed by early buzz around their period or ensemble casts, while Dune: Part Three and Being Heumann trail on smaller percentages amid limited confirmed casting details. Absent guild nominations or critics' awards, the market prices in the inherent unpredictability of secret-ballot voting and the impact of upcoming festival screenings and guild shortlists that could quickly reorder momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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