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icon for Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026
Política·Premios

Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026

icon for Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026
Política·Premios

Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026

Salas de Respuesta de Emergencia de Sudán 9.0%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Save the Children 7.0%

Corte Internacional de Justicia 5.3%

Polymarket

$24,119,497 Vol.

Salas de Respuesta de Emergencia de Sudán 9.0%

Yulia Navalnaya 8%

Save the Children 7.0%

Corte Internacional de Justicia 5.3%

Polymarket

$24,119,497 Vol.

icon for Salas de Respuesta de Emergencia de Sudán

Salas de Respuesta de Emergencia de Sudán

$9,785 Vol.

9%

icon for Yulia Navalnaya

Yulia Navalnaya

$298,211 Vol.

8%

icon for Save the Children

Save the Children

$6,936 Vol.

7%

icon for Corte Internacional de Justicia

Corte Internacional de Justicia

$914,882 Vol.

5%

icon for UNRWA

UNRWA

$2,052,211 Vol.

5%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$4,758,859 Vol.

3%

icon for Sara Al-Saqqa

Sara Al-Saqqa

$3,730 Vol.

3%

icon for Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$823,254 Vol.

2%

icon for Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$789,306 Vol.

2%

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$1,274,629 Vol.

2%

icon for World Central Kitchen

World Central Kitchen

$3,179 Vol.

1%

icon for Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi

$688,671 Vol.

1%

icon for Greta Thunberg

Greta Thunberg

$1,474,059 Vol.

1%

icon for Chow Hang-tung

Chow Hang-tung

$3,006 Vol.

1%

icon for Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

$1,788 Vol.

1%

icon for Comité para la Protección de los Periodistas

Comité para la Protección de los Periodistas

$3,366 Vol.

1%

icon for Reporteros Sin Fronteras

Reporteros Sin Fronteras

$2,595 Vol.

1%

icon for António Guterres

António Guterres

$641,652 Vol.

1%

icon for CICR

CICR

$3,270 Vol.

1%

icon for Papa León XIV

Papa León XIV

$821,706 Vol.

1%

icon for Julian Assange

Julian Assange

$857,022 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xi Jinping

Xi Jinping

$1,436,039 Vol.

<1%

icon for ACNUR

ACNUR

$3,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hussam Abu Safiya

Hussam Abu Safiya

$3,698 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$1,195,382 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

$922,377 Vol.

<1%

icon for Khaled Mashal

Khaled Mashal

$880,607 Vol.

<1%

icon for Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

$706,233 Vol.

<1%

icon for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$1,067,800 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Kirk

Charlie Kirk

$1,279,205 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mohammed bin Salman

Mohammed bin Salman

$1,192,832 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms holding the highest market-implied odds at 9% after their recent Rafto human rights award and sustained humanitarian work amid the country’s civil war. Yulia Navalnaya follows closely at 7.5% on continued visibility through public appearances and her role leading Russian opposition efforts, while Save the Children and other organizations like the International Court of Justice sit in a tight pack below 8%. The Norwegian Nobel Committee’s secrecy around nominations, combined with 208 individuals and 79 groups shortlisted, creates this competitive dynamic where grassroots aid networks and activists edge out political figures. Key catalysts ahead include the October 9 announcement, with historical patterns favoring multilateral or under-the-radar humanitarian stories over high-profile names.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$24,119,497
Fecha de finalización
10 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms holding the highest market-implied odds at 9% after their recent Rafto human rights award and sustained humanitarian work amid the country’s civil war. Yulia Navalnaya follows closely at 7.5% on continued visibility through public appearances and her role leading Russian opposition efforts, while Save the Children and other organizations like the International Court of Justice sit in a tight pack below 8%. The Norwegian Nobel Committee’s secrecy around nominations, combined with 208 individuals and 79 groups shortlisted, creates this competitive dynamic where grassroots aid networks and activists edge out political figures. Key catalysts ahead include the October 9 announcement, with historical patterns favoring multilateral or under-the-radar humanitarian stories over high-profile names.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$24,119,497
Fecha de finalización
10 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 31 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Salas de Respuesta de Emergencia de Sudán" con 9%, seguido de "Yulia Navalnaya" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 9¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" ha generado $24.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026", explora los 31 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" es "Salas de Respuesta de Emergencia de Sudán" con solo 9%, con "Yulia Navalnaya" muy cerca con 8%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador del Premio Nobel de la Paz 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.