Tesla shares have traded in a $220–$280 range since the October 23 Q3 earnings release, which showed revenue of $25.2 billion slightly missing estimates amid compressed auto gross margins at 17% due to price cuts and mix shift, offset by record energy storage deployments. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on near-term delivery growth amid softening EV demand in China and Europe, with 2025 vehicle volume guidance at 20–30% expansion hinging on Cybertruck ramp and affordable model launches. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings on January 29, Federal Reserve rate decisions influencing auto financing, and regulatory progress on Full Self-Driving amid Elon Musk's push for federal autonomy standards post-election. Implied volatility remains elevated at 55%, pricing in event risks around robotaxi production timelines targeting 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNEW
Mar 30, 2026
$350
81%
$360
60%
$370
32%
$380
12%
$390
4%
$0.00 Vol.
$350
$0 Vol.
81%
$360
$0 Vol.
60%
$370
$0 Vol.
32%
$380
$0 Vol.
12%
$390
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 30 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have traded in a $220–$280 range since the October 23 Q3 earnings release, which showed revenue of $25.2 billion slightly missing estimates amid compressed auto gross margins at 17% due to price cuts and mix shift, offset by record energy storage deployments. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on near-term delivery growth amid softening EV demand in China and Europe, with 2025 vehicle volume guidance at 20–30% expansion hinging on Cybertruck ramp and affordable model launches. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings on January 29, Federal Reserve rate decisions influencing auto financing, and regulatory progress on Full Self-Driving amid Elon Musk's push for federal autonomy standards post-election. Implied volatility remains elevated at 55%, pricing in event risks around robotaxi production timelines targeting 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 30 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 30 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares have traded in a $220–$280 range since the October 23 Q3 earnings release, which showed revenue of $25.2 billion slightly missing estimates amid compressed auto gross margins at 17% due to price cuts and mix shift, offset by record energy storage deployments. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on near-term delivery growth amid softening EV demand in China and Europe, with 2025 vehicle volume guidance at 20–30% expansion hinging on Cybertruck ramp and affordable model launches. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings on January 29, Federal Reserve rate decisions influencing auto financing, and regulatory progress on Full Self-Driving amid Elon Musk's push for federal autonomy standards post-election. Implied volatility remains elevated at 55%, pricing in event risks around robotaxi production timelines targeting 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 30 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares have traded in a $220–$280 range since the October 23 Q3 earnings release, which showed revenue of $25.2 billion slightly missing estimates amid compressed auto gross margins at 17% due to price cuts and mix shift, offset by record energy storage deployments. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution on near-term delivery growth amid softening EV demand in China and Europe, with 2025 vehicle volume guidance at 20–30% expansion hinging on Cybertruck ramp and affordable model launches. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings on January 29, Federal Reserve rate decisions influencing auto financing, and regulatory progress on Full Self-Driving amid Elon Musk's push for federal autonomy standards post-election. Implied volatility remains elevated at 55%, pricing in event risks around robotaxi production timelines targeting 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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